"Is this guy capable of bluffing here and if not what are my chances of winning if I call?"
or 2
betting patterns how do you tell? --- simple answer to the question is: The first thing you should notice about an opponent is anything he does that's out of the ordinary. Does he make an unusually large or small raise,
Saturday, February 28, 2009
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Goin to the Drive-Thru
Played a little poka last night more on that later. Went to the Burger King Drive Thru, long line BK dude comes out and asks me to go forward to window they will take my order there. I get to the window bk lady says that will be 9.85, I say I havent ordered she says well you have to come in and order, ah no I'm not doing that we go around a little then i ask for the manager, she says you gotta go inside to see manager I said nope not going inside. So she closes the windows, I take my truck and put it in Park and say "the burger king drie thru is shutdown as of right now!" manager finally shows and 25 secs later I got my food and a happy man.
I made a littl rakeback on UB first time ever recieving it and how sweet it is. Overplayed some JJs when opponent bet 4x and there were 3 callers he later jammed I called he had AA i lost-bad hand I should have tried to read hands and guess that even if he had AK it was coin flip.
Tommy Angelo is a great writer, one of the best in the poker world very cool very funny, check him out.
running 19/12 af 2.5
I made a littl rakeback on UB first time ever recieving it and how sweet it is. Overplayed some JJs when opponent bet 4x and there were 3 callers he later jammed I called he had AA i lost-bad hand I should have tried to read hands and guess that even if he had AK it was coin flip.
Tommy Angelo is a great writer, one of the best in the poker world very cool very funny, check him out.
running 19/12 af 2.5
Monday, February 9, 2009
Madness
Last week I was mad, mad about this mad about that. Mad at mysefl , mad at work,mad at poker, mad at being mad, now I'm not mad, the mad is gone, bye bye mad - stay away, go ahead and stay at a holiday inn Mad. Mad needs a vacation so I'm sending mad on an all expense paid vacation to somewhere warm around the world.
As I write this my cat is my so called handwarmer keeping my lap warm and pretending to sleep, she is spoiled beyond belief. I wanted to call her some kind of Hero but there is nothing heroic she has ever done so she is just a modified version of a handwarmer for me .
I have a monster that lives near my couch called the Tiltmonster and he was in fullforce last week gobbling my chips in large chunks like Kobiashi eating hot dogs in a food eating contest.Tiltmonster has gone back to monster island and I know he will be back.
I don't want to take this game too seriously anymore, so I'm gonna have some fun with all that is good with my life. Sure I'm gonna rant and rave some too , hey its my blog I can do anything I want! right? All you fish, Monkeys, Donkeys, Sharks, Elephants, and Mouses get ready cause I'm coming after you on the virtual felt 1 street at a time and hopefully I'll keep you on your toes going forward.
good Night - I'm outta here later.
As I write this my cat is my so called handwarmer keeping my lap warm and pretending to sleep, she is spoiled beyond belief. I wanted to call her some kind of Hero but there is nothing heroic she has ever done so she is just a modified version of a handwarmer for me .
I have a monster that lives near my couch called the Tiltmonster and he was in fullforce last week gobbling my chips in large chunks like Kobiashi eating hot dogs in a food eating contest.Tiltmonster has gone back to monster island and I know he will be back.
I don't want to take this game too seriously anymore, so I'm gonna have some fun with all that is good with my life. Sure I'm gonna rant and rave some too , hey its my blog I can do anything I want! right? All you fish, Monkeys, Donkeys, Sharks, Elephants, and Mouses get ready cause I'm coming after you on the virtual felt 1 street at a time and hopefully I'll keep you on your toes going forward.
good Night - I'm outta here later.
Sunday, February 1, 2009
Stats and some goals
Running 6.42 bb/100 over 4100 hands majority of which is 10nl 6max, multitabling (4 tables) towards the end. Some 25nl and a few 50nl to test the waters.
1/30 Bad hands played 7 ; 2/1 4 hands played bad Grade of F on both days, spewing money. Goal is 0 bad hands.
Goal - Small Stakes 100nl by June, 50nl by April, 25 nl by March. Don't try to force it, but play solid and stay away from bluffing, marginal calls.
Hand analysis
Opponent was running 16/10 1 AF. I had been really aggressive at the table when involved in hands up to this point. How should I have played this or was the aggression ok at these limits?Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comButton ($10.85)SB ($5.41)BB ($22.44)UTG ($12)
Hero (MP) ($10.29)Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7
UTG raises to $0.40,
Hero raises to $1.35, 3 folds,
UTG calls $0.95Flop: ($2.85) 5, 6, 2 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $2.85,
UTG calls $2.85Turn: ($8.55) 10 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero raises to $6.09 (All-In), UTG calls $6.09Total pot: $20.73
UTG has 66 for a set and Hero had 77 spewy play
"In my opinion you've made several big mistakes in this hand.First mistake: Your opponent is tight open/raising only 10% of hands, we have to assume that his range from UTG is even tighter... what will he be opening with from UTG? I would assume maybe 99+, AK, AQs how do you fare against those hands? you're crushed against the majority of them or racing. Proper play pre flop is setmine since you're both deep and call his bet.Second mistake: You failed to understand your own table image, when you say you've been raising alot your image is LAGG opponents will give you credit for lesser hands and they will slowplay strong holdings. When you pot the flop (witch is kinda ok although a smaller bet would have had a better effect in my opinion) and your opponent calls you have to think you're beat I don't think he will call a pot sized bet here without a hand that beats you. At this stage you have to put him on an overpair or a set, since you have the smallest overpair any overpair will beat your hand.Third mistake:Your betting line ensures that you'll only get called by hands that beat you. I think a 3/4 or 2/3 pot bet on the flop would be enough even maybe a half pot bet, I understand that you want to protect your overpair in a rather favorable flop but in all fairness there's only 2 hands you're gonna fold there, AK and AQ and even those still have some equity against you. Once you're called C/F the turn, you're beat.Without knowing after your opponent called your 3bet pre flop i would put him on something like KK+ and maybe AK/AQ after the flop call I would rule out AK and AQ for a tight opponent leaving AA and KK and far more AA than KK.This is my opinion and by no means am I an expert or anything but I think this is a pretty standard line for these hands at these limits on a TAG"
1/30 Bad hands played 7 ; 2/1 4 hands played bad Grade of F on both days, spewing money. Goal is 0 bad hands.
Goal - Small Stakes 100nl by June, 50nl by April, 25 nl by March. Don't try to force it, but play solid and stay away from bluffing, marginal calls.
Hand analysis
Opponent was running 16/10 1 AF. I had been really aggressive at the table when involved in hands up to this point. How should I have played this or was the aggression ok at these limits?Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comButton ($10.85)SB ($5.41)BB ($22.44)UTG ($12)
Hero (MP) ($10.29)Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7
UTG raises to $0.40,
Hero raises to $1.35, 3 folds,
UTG calls $0.95Flop: ($2.85) 5, 6, 2 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $2.85,
UTG calls $2.85Turn: ($8.55) 10 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero raises to $6.09 (All-In), UTG calls $6.09Total pot: $20.73
UTG has 66 for a set and Hero had 77 spewy play
"In my opinion you've made several big mistakes in this hand.First mistake: Your opponent is tight open/raising only 10% of hands, we have to assume that his range from UTG is even tighter... what will he be opening with from UTG? I would assume maybe 99+, AK, AQs how do you fare against those hands? you're crushed against the majority of them or racing. Proper play pre flop is setmine since you're both deep and call his bet.Second mistake: You failed to understand your own table image, when you say you've been raising alot your image is LAGG opponents will give you credit for lesser hands and they will slowplay strong holdings. When you pot the flop (witch is kinda ok although a smaller bet would have had a better effect in my opinion) and your opponent calls you have to think you're beat I don't think he will call a pot sized bet here without a hand that beats you. At this stage you have to put him on an overpair or a set, since you have the smallest overpair any overpair will beat your hand.Third mistake:Your betting line ensures that you'll only get called by hands that beat you. I think a 3/4 or 2/3 pot bet on the flop would be enough even maybe a half pot bet, I understand that you want to protect your overpair in a rather favorable flop but in all fairness there's only 2 hands you're gonna fold there, AK and AQ and even those still have some equity against you. Once you're called C/F the turn, you're beat.Without knowing after your opponent called your 3bet pre flop i would put him on something like KK+ and maybe AK/AQ after the flop call I would rule out AK and AQ for a tight opponent leaving AA and KK and far more AA than KK.This is my opinion and by no means am I an expert or anything but I think this is a pretty standard line for these hands at these limits on a TAG"
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
Gootinfo
copied from 2plus2
Sauce's Guide to Beating NLH 6max This is really a nod to the beautiful simplicity that was IlikeAces guide. The purpose of this guide is to make decisions as simple as possible for us and as hard as possible for our opponents while retaining large amounts of implied odds and fold equity. General Theorem: Project a nitty image but 3bet like a monkey because this stat doesnt come up on Poker Tracker/ HUD and our opponents are multitabling robots.
Preflop Play: STATS Personal 15vpip 12pfr CBET 60% ATmpt steal 30%If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP
IDENTIFY IF PLayer is A) STRAIGHTFORWARD=RESPECT HIS RAISES is he fit or fold on the flop ? b) TRICKY = BE CAREFUL IF HE CHECK/RAISES
SB BB AK JJ+UTG 1. Open AK, AQs, 22-AA UTG. MP Add AQ0, AJs, KQs, ATs CO AJo, KQo, QJs, JTs, KTs, KJs, T9s, 98s, 87s, QTs, in CO (you can add a few more from button range here as things progress) BTN AT0, A9s-A2sQJ0, JT0 76s, 65s, 54s, T8s, J9s, , 97s, 86s, 75s,
!!!! SMALL HAND OVERPAIR SMALL POT / BIG HAND SET BIG POT NO EXCEPTIONS EVER !!!! saying 3betset
If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP2. 3bet ANY HAND in your opponent's (positionally adjusted) opening range from any position. This does not mean you have to 3bet every hand in his range every time you get it, but it is your default play. As a defauly 3bet with the top 1/2 of hands they open with. 3bet with a hand in the top 2/3 of their positionally adjusted opening range if they are a calling station or large donkey of some other sort. (MOST IMPORTANT PART OF GUIDE) 3. Isolate/raise limpers with any hand you would open with from the button. 4. Fold to a 4bet shove unless you have QQ+ AK if people aren't batshit insane. 5. If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP. 6. Call a raise in any position if the following conditions are present: a) you are holding an SC or a PP b) There are two or more people already in the pot c) your hand is not strong enough to 3bet (not in the top 1/2 if their opening range from that position) Postflop: In a Raised Pot: 1. Cbet any flop containing 1-2 paint cards, any flop containing 3 cards 7 or lower, any flop containing disconnected cards and any flop which hit you. Do not cbet if you have not hit a flop with 4 or more ppl in the pot. 2. When OOP do not put any more money in the pot past ur cbet if you do not have Top pair or an 8+ out draw. Bluff all scare cards on turn or river if given an opportunity. 3. you may slowplay sets on rainbow unconnected boards but thats it. In a Reraised pot: 1. Continuation bet for 2/3 pot any flop containing one or more A K Q, any flop which has given you top pair or an 8+ out draw or better. 2. Double barrel shove any flop/turn containing a K, Q, J, or T against opponents who are in position and have shown down a hand 22-99, T9s-54s in your recent memory in a 3bet pot. 3. If you have bet a weak overpair (99 on a 872 flop) fold to a flop raise and call only any bet that is less than or equal to 1/2 pot on later streets against most players. 4. With your strongest hands and draws shove turn. 5. Do not slowplay ever. 6. Always bet if an A or K falls on the turn or river and you have already bet the flop unless there are two cards connecting to it. I will edit/add to this later but anyone of average intelligence should be able to make 30,000 or more per year playing sporadically using this strategy. Remember, almost everything said here is meant to exploit TAG and LAG regs who make up the majority of players at 100nl+, which differentiates it from the ILIKEACES guide. most things in here probably are not correct for every opponent, every time, but I believe this is a fundamentally sound strategy which would be the basis of my strategy if I had a tight image. Sauce.
If you want to crush NL25, here are my suggestions:-
if the players to your left are tight, open ATC. And don't get scared when you get called, you should cbet and 2nd barrel almost always as they call mostly with pocket pairs. Instafold if you get raised though, unless until you get good enough at hand reading to understand when you can make them lay down.-
against the fish, any two high cards (by "high" I mean 8 or higher) are good IP. Isolate them, cbet and 2nd barrel. You'd be surprised how many times they call the flop and fold the turn, and if you get any piece of the flop it's very probable it will be good at showdown.-
3bet light the regs. Squeeze them. Attack the dead money restlessly. I started playing like this 10 days ago when I was at NL10 and now I'm rolled for NL50, approx. 15k hands. It's wildly profitable. My stats were very similar to yours before, now I'm running at 38/35/6.5 with a winrate of 17 BB/100.
Sauce's Guide to Beating NLH 6max This is really a nod to the beautiful simplicity that was IlikeAces guide. The purpose of this guide is to make decisions as simple as possible for us and as hard as possible for our opponents while retaining large amounts of implied odds and fold equity. General Theorem: Project a nitty image but 3bet like a monkey because this stat doesnt come up on Poker Tracker/ HUD and our opponents are multitabling robots.
Preflop Play: STATS Personal 15vpip 12pfr CBET 60% ATmpt steal 30%If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP
IDENTIFY IF PLayer is A) STRAIGHTFORWARD=RESPECT HIS RAISES is he fit or fold on the flop ? b) TRICKY = BE CAREFUL IF HE CHECK/RAISES
SB BB AK JJ+UTG 1. Open AK, AQs, 22-AA UTG. MP Add AQ0, AJs, KQs, ATs CO AJo, KQo, QJs, JTs, KTs, KJs, T9s, 98s, 87s, QTs, in CO (you can add a few more from button range here as things progress) BTN AT0, A9s-A2sQJ0, JT0 76s, 65s, 54s, T8s, J9s, , 97s, 86s, 75s,
!!!! SMALL HAND OVERPAIR SMALL POT / BIG HAND SET BIG POT NO EXCEPTIONS EVER !!!! saying 3betset
If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP2. 3bet ANY HAND in your opponent's (positionally adjusted) opening range from any position. This does not mean you have to 3bet every hand in his range every time you get it, but it is your default play. As a defauly 3bet with the top 1/2 of hands they open with. 3bet with a hand in the top 2/3 of their positionally adjusted opening range if they are a calling station or large donkey of some other sort. (MOST IMPORTANT PART OF GUIDE) 3. Isolate/raise limpers with any hand you would open with from the button. 4. Fold to a 4bet shove unless you have QQ+ AK if people aren't batshit insane. 5. If you are 3bet- In position call with TT+ AK and 4bet with QQ+ AK OOP. 6. Call a raise in any position if the following conditions are present: a) you are holding an SC or a PP b) There are two or more people already in the pot c) your hand is not strong enough to 3bet (not in the top 1/2 if their opening range from that position) Postflop: In a Raised Pot: 1. Cbet any flop containing 1-2 paint cards, any flop containing 3 cards 7 or lower, any flop containing disconnected cards and any flop which hit you. Do not cbet if you have not hit a flop with 4 or more ppl in the pot. 2. When OOP do not put any more money in the pot past ur cbet if you do not have Top pair or an 8+ out draw. Bluff all scare cards on turn or river if given an opportunity. 3. you may slowplay sets on rainbow unconnected boards but thats it. In a Reraised pot: 1. Continuation bet for 2/3 pot any flop containing one or more A K Q, any flop which has given you top pair or an 8+ out draw or better. 2. Double barrel shove any flop/turn containing a K, Q, J, or T against opponents who are in position and have shown down a hand 22-99, T9s-54s in your recent memory in a 3bet pot. 3. If you have bet a weak overpair (99 on a 872 flop) fold to a flop raise and call only any bet that is less than or equal to 1/2 pot on later streets against most players. 4. With your strongest hands and draws shove turn. 5. Do not slowplay ever. 6. Always bet if an A or K falls on the turn or river and you have already bet the flop unless there are two cards connecting to it. I will edit/add to this later but anyone of average intelligence should be able to make 30,000 or more per year playing sporadically using this strategy. Remember, almost everything said here is meant to exploit TAG and LAG regs who make up the majority of players at 100nl+, which differentiates it from the ILIKEACES guide. most things in here probably are not correct for every opponent, every time, but I believe this is a fundamentally sound strategy which would be the basis of my strategy if I had a tight image. Sauce.
If you want to crush NL25, here are my suggestions:-
if the players to your left are tight, open ATC. And don't get scared when you get called, you should cbet and 2nd barrel almost always as they call mostly with pocket pairs. Instafold if you get raised though, unless until you get good enough at hand reading to understand when you can make them lay down.-
against the fish, any two high cards (by "high" I mean 8 or higher) are good IP. Isolate them, cbet and 2nd barrel. You'd be surprised how many times they call the flop and fold the turn, and if you get any piece of the flop it's very probable it will be good at showdown.-
3bet light the regs. Squeeze them. Attack the dead money restlessly. I started playing like this 10 days ago when I was at NL10 and now I'm rolled for NL50, approx. 15k hands. It's wildly profitable. My stats were very similar to yours before, now I'm running at 38/35/6.5 with a winrate of 17 BB/100.
Thursday, January 15, 2009
10NL Touch of 6 tabling
Overall not a good start to the day played several sessions throughout the day. The last session was the best and I was 6 tabling after having been 3 tabling earlier.
Overall Statistics for the month are 13 bb/100 over 1775 hands running 18/12/3.7 w/3bet% 7. I believe the total aggression factor may be a little high and I need to take a look at it and maybe bring it down some especially vs all the loose agg players out there.
ONE BARREL BLUFFS ONLY - new rule gonna try and implement it so I don't bleed off chunks of BBs.
Grinderschool.com is a site I had not heard of but I'm thinking of signing up looks like a good site. Pokertrikz is a great site to be a member of and the folks are really helpful and knowledgeable of the game.
Area to work on:
Spend more time putting folks on a range when they raise ex. Aq AJ lp reraise(3bet) jj ak 4bet KK AA almost always
Hands that are costing me money today and I should not have played - KJ A9
Ease through the session don't force the situation, especially while down in chips. Let it come naturally don't overplay hands vs aggressive opponents.
Overall Statistics for the month are 13 bb/100 over 1775 hands running 18/12/3.7 w/3bet% 7. I believe the total aggression factor may be a little high and I need to take a look at it and maybe bring it down some especially vs all the loose agg players out there.
ONE BARREL BLUFFS ONLY - new rule gonna try and implement it so I don't bleed off chunks of BBs.
Grinderschool.com is a site I had not heard of but I'm thinking of signing up looks like a good site. Pokertrikz is a great site to be a member of and the folks are really helpful and knowledgeable of the game.
Area to work on:
Spend more time putting folks on a range when they raise ex. Aq AJ lp reraise(3bet) jj ak 4bet KK AA almost always
Hands that are costing me money today and I should not have played - KJ A9
Ease through the session don't force the situation, especially while down in chips. Let it come naturally don't overplay hands vs aggressive opponents.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
10nl Not a good Night
Not a good session this evening, it looks better than it actually is with only a -1.92BB/100 hands over 286 hands. Every once in a while I played kind of loose and crazy and this evening was one of those. Some wild play that I'm not sure I fully understand. Some stats for the session 3tabling FR 25/16/1.5 w/ 9 3bet%. Mood was slightly negative\steamed during entire session and loose opponents hitting 2 pair with oddball hands did not help when I called them with top pair.
Taking AK too far with a queen on the board vs tight opponent eventually I gave up to his river bet but it cost me -31bb (complete waste of money). I will credit myself with noticing the steaming as the session entered the last 3rd of the time and I started to tighten up and play better poker. 2 AA hands that were played well that gained me 60bb on a positve note.
Goal
Really need to shut it down when things go sour, this session i did not and made the money back but it could have easily been worse in the opposite direction. Going further the goal has to be to stop after 2 buyins are lost. Without controls put in place and followed my losing sessions could cost me huge chunks of bankroll and I'm not looking to reverse all that I have worked hard for.
Tiltmonster was underneath the couch and attacked for a little while but I fought him off and survived. Gotta do better. Stay in tune with the mind.
Good Night Later -Forrest
Taking AK too far with a queen on the board vs tight opponent eventually I gave up to his river bet but it cost me -31bb (complete waste of money). I will credit myself with noticing the steaming as the session entered the last 3rd of the time and I started to tighten up and play better poker. 2 AA hands that were played well that gained me 60bb on a positve note.
Goal
Really need to shut it down when things go sour, this session i did not and made the money back but it could have easily been worse in the opposite direction. Going further the goal has to be to stop after 2 buyins are lost. Without controls put in place and followed my losing sessions could cost me huge chunks of bankroll and I'm not looking to reverse all that I have worked hard for.
Tiltmonster was underneath the couch and attacked for a little while but I fought him off and survived. Gotta do better. Stay in tune with the mind.
Good Night Later -Forrest
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