Sunday, February 1, 2009

Stats and some goals

Running 6.42 bb/100 over 4100 hands majority of which is 10nl 6max, multitabling (4 tables) towards the end. Some 25nl and a few 50nl to test the waters.
1/30 Bad hands played 7 ; 2/1 4 hands played bad Grade of F on both days, spewing money. Goal is 0 bad hands.
Goal - Small Stakes 100nl by June, 50nl by April, 25 nl by March. Don't try to force it, but play solid and stay away from bluffing, marginal calls.

Hand analysis

Opponent was running 16/10 1 AF. I had been really aggressive at the table when involved in hands up to this point. How should I have played this or was the aggression ok at these limits?Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comButton ($10.85)SB ($5.41)BB ($22.44)UTG ($12)
Hero (MP) ($10.29)Preflop: Hero is MP with 7, 7
UTG raises to $0.40,
Hero raises to $1.35, 3 folds,
UTG calls $0.95Flop: ($2.85) 5, 6, 2 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $2.85,
UTG calls $2.85Turn: ($8.55) 10 (2 players)
UTG checks,
Hero raises to $6.09 (All-In), UTG calls $6.09Total pot: $20.73
UTG has 66 for a set and Hero had 77 spewy play

"In my opinion you've made several big mistakes in this hand.First mistake: Your opponent is tight open/raising only 10% of hands, we have to assume that his range from UTG is even tighter... what will he be opening with from UTG? I would assume maybe 99+, AK, AQs how do you fare against those hands? you're crushed against the majority of them or racing. Proper play pre flop is setmine since you're both deep and call his bet.Second mistake: You failed to understand your own table image, when you say you've been raising alot your image is LAGG opponents will give you credit for lesser hands and they will slowplay strong holdings. When you pot the flop (witch is kinda ok although a smaller bet would have had a better effect in my opinion) and your opponent calls you have to think you're beat I don't think he will call a pot sized bet here without a hand that beats you. At this stage you have to put him on an overpair or a set, since you have the smallest overpair any overpair will beat your hand.Third mistake:Your betting line ensures that you'll only get called by hands that beat you. I think a 3/4 or 2/3 pot bet on the flop would be enough even maybe a half pot bet, I understand that you want to protect your overpair in a rather favorable flop but in all fairness there's only 2 hands you're gonna fold there, AK and AQ and even those still have some equity against you. Once you're called C/F the turn, you're beat.Without knowing after your opponent called your 3bet pre flop i would put him on something like KK+ and maybe AK/AQ after the flop call I would rule out AK and AQ for a tight opponent leaving AA and KK and far more AA than KK.This is my opinion and by no means am I an expert or anything but I think this is a pretty standard line for these hands at these limits on a TAG"

No comments:

Post a Comment